The Arctic is becoming a geopolitical battleground — and the EU wants a bigger role.
The European Commission is unveiling a new strategy focused on security, as Russia builds up its military presence, China explores new shipping routes, and Donald Trump’s Greenland ambitions raise tensions.
Also on the show, hosts Zoya Sheftalovich and Nick Vinocur discuss signs of progress in the EU’s long-term budget negotiations: Emmanuel Macron and Friedrich Merz appear to be finding common ground, while Kaja Kallas warns that proposed cuts could undermine Europe’s global influence.
Slashing the EU’s humanitarian aid budget risks wrecking the bloc’s dominance and influence in international discussions, warned the head of the world’s largest food aid organization.
As Europe’s leaders clash over just how much they’re prepared to fund the EU and its programs in the next seven-year budget, initial funding plans for global development have already been cut.
The latest compromise position presented by the Irish rotating presidency of the Council of the EU would carve €38 billion out of the Global Europe envelope — which funds development and external aid — shrinking it by roughly 17% to €177 billion.
The European Commission “has remained a predictable donor when others have cut,” Carl Skau, acting chief of the U.N. World Food Programme said. This has earned Europe “a lot of trust, a lot capital, a lot of leverage in the international system,” he added.
That influence has helped the EU shape WFP priorities, including commitments to gender equality, climate action and protecting vulnerable populations in its 2026-2029 Strategic Plan.
Now, Brussels risks throwing that advantage away, Skau warned.
World Food Programme donations are unloaded in Chichiriviche de la Costa, Venezuela on July 16, 2026. | Raul Arboleda/AFP via Getty Images
It will be “unfortunate also to do away with that muscle that Europe benefits from,” he said, urging the EU to protect the “ambitious budget.” Compared with the billions being poured into defense, he argued, humanitarian aid amounts to “peanuts.”
Talks on squeezing the EU’s contribution land as other international powers have also cut their global development budgets.
The World Food Programme’s global funding has plunged by 40% over the past two years, according to its official records. Its largest donor, the United States, halved its contributions in 2025 under President Donald Trump compared with the previous year. Germany, France, and the United Kingdom also tightened the purse strings.
Record need for aid
Funding cuts to the organization come when the need for its programs has never been higher. According to WFP projections, as many as 363 million people could face acute food insecurity this year — nearly 90% more than in 2021.
“We see the consequences of the cuts that we’re now going through. They are human, because we are cutting [food programs for] women and children, who are likely to die in South Sudan, in Afghanistan, in Somalia, off our support because of these deep funding cuts we’ve been going through,” said Skau.
The world’s largest food aid agency is now running dangerously short of cash and has to make “impossible choices,” such as “choosing between the starving,” Skau said. Moreover, wars, extreme weather, the looming threat of El Niño and disruptions to global trade routes are deepening hunger crises worldwide.
Some officials previously warned that cuts to development aid risk fueling more migration into Europe, something Brussels has been trying to curb.
“I would not put that as my main argument, but there is a clear linkage,” said Skau. “And if that’s what it takes to get the resources needed to save lives in South Sudan, you know, fair enough,” he added.
Skau is serving as WFP’s interim chief following Cindy McCain’s departure. He is set to hand over to Luke Lindberg at the end of October.
The Commission is grappling with two goals that may be counterproductive: cutting migration and slashing development aid.
The EU executive’s argument is that a slash in development funding will likely result in people showing up at European borders in search of a better life. And that’s a problem for the bloc, since it’s looking to decrease migration numbers. On the show, hosts Zoya Sheftalovich and Ian Wishart explain how the dilemma will be unpacked at the upcoming European Council this week.
Next, a shooting near the European Parliament in Brussels has EU officials — and everyone else, for that matter — on edge.
Finally, the U.K. under Andy Burnham is at a big inflection point when it comes to redefining its relationship to the EU. But the bloc doesn’t even seem to care.
Questions? Comments? Let us know on our WhatsApp here or at +32 491 05 06 29.
Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič is kicking off his visit to China today — and the stakes are high.
On today’s show, Zoya Sheftalovich and Sarah Wheaton discuss the most important topic on the agenda: Europe’s trade deficit with China. France and Germany are finally on the same page and want Brussels to get tougher on unfair trade. So can we expect results from the meeting?
Next, EU development ministers are meeting in Dublin to discuss the future of Europe’s development policy.But the timing is unfortunate, as governments prepare another round of cuts to the next long-term budget.
Finally, a mysterious death at a Russian anti-plague lab has an unexpected connection to Zoya’s own family.
Questions? Comments? Let us know on our WhatsApp here or at +32 491 05 06 29.
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